PENGARUH EKSPOR, IMPOR, DAN PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT DI INDONESIA

Abstract

This study entitled The Effect of Government Export, Import and Expenditure Values on Economic Growth and Community Welfare in Indonesia "aims to find out and analyze the influence of net exports, government spending on economic growth in Indonesia. and community welfare in Indonesia.

It is a type of explanatory descriptive research, the variables studied are net exports (export-import), government expenditure, economic growth and HDI in 34 provinces in Indonesia. Data is obtained from the Ministry of Trade and BPS. The analytical method used is path analysis with multiple regression, t test, F test, Sobel test.

The results of the analysis in the first regression showed that net exports had a positive and significant impact on economic growth but had no significant effect on the HDI. Government expenditure has a positive and significant effect on economic growth and is also significant to the HDI. The results of 2nd regression show that net exports have no effect on the HDI, but government expenditure has a significant effect on the HDI. The result of testing the indirect effect (Sobel test) of net exports and government expenditure on the HDI shows insignificant results, meaning that economic growth is not an intervener variable between net exports and government expenditure on the HDI.

 Keywords: export, import, government expenditure, economic growth, human development index.

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