PENGARUH TINGKAT BUNGA, JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DAN PENDAPATAN (PDB) TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA

Abstract

This research aim is to analyze the effect of the variable interest rate SBI, money supply M2, and the PDB income, the Inflation in Indonesia period 1988-2010.

This study using correlative and regression analysis using evews4 pogram. Correlative methods used to examine the relationship variables, interest rate (X₁), money supply M2 (X₂), and the PDB income (X₃) on inflation (Y). The data used are secondary data from the period 1988-2010 Statistics of Bank Indonesia.

The results showed that the correlation (R²) between the variable interest rate (X₁), money supply M2 (X₂), and the GDP income (X₃) have a strong enough relationship to the inflation variable (Y). F test conducted jointly ties between the variable interest rate (X₁), money supply M2 (X₂), and the GDP income (X₂) on inflation (Y). In the t test, the variable interest rate (X₁) and the GDP income (X₃) has a negative and significant effect on inflation (Y), while the money supply (X₂) and no significant effect on inflation (Y) in Indonesia.

Keywords: Infalsi, Interest Rates, Money Supply M2, National Income (PDB).